Over the winter I've probably
spent more time attempting to smooth out your bidding
techniques and have not paid the
attention I should to basic play of the hand.
Although you are declarer only
25 percent of the time, for some reason it feels as if we play
a
hand much more often. Perhaps it
is because when we do play the hand we feel as if the
responsibility of success falls completely
on our shoulders. Of course, this is true. So we'll
begin today's discussion describing
how to play simple suit combinations that occur most
frequently. By the end of my article
we will have increased the degree of difficulty of these
various combinations.
Holding seven cards in a suit
between you and dummy means six cards are outstanding.
Surprisingly the most common distribution
of those six cards is 4-2 occurring over 48 percent
of the time. The even 3-3 distribution
happens less than 36 percent of the time, quite a
difference. If you hold AKQ5 and
dummy has 432 your chance of winning four tricks in the
suit is not good.
Holding eight cards in a suit
between you and dummy means five cards are outstanding. When
an odd number of cards are outstanding,
the percentages favor that the suit will break as evenly
as possible, in this instance 3-2.
This 3-2 break occurs almost 68 percent of the time, over
two-thirds of the hands missing five
cards. If you hold A8643 and dummy has KQ5, odds is
that you will take five tricks in
the suit. By the way get into the habit of playing the short
suit
first so you will always leave an
entry into the long suit. Play the KQ then the five to the ace
establishing your long suit winners.
Let's change the above holding
to A8643 and K72. Even if the suit breaks favorably only four
tricks can be won. So as not to lose
control of the suit it is best to give up the losing trick
immediately by playing low from the
ace and a low card from dummy. This is called a safety
play. When you later gain the lead
play low to the king. As long as the three outstanding cards
break 2-1 you make a total of four
tricks. Should you find the suit breaks unfavorably (4-1
about a quarter of time) you still
maintain control of the suit with the ace.
Now we'll take a look at the finesse.
Assume you hold 43 and dummy has AQ. You should be
able to see that if you play either
the four or three and after lho plays low you play the queen
there is a 50 percent chance the
queen will win the trick thereby guaranteeing you two tricks
in
the suit. If lho has the king the
queen wins and if rho holds the king the play of the queen will
lose. With no information from the
auction it's a flip of the coin as to who has the king. To
forego the finesse and play the ace
first will only be advantageous if rho has a singleton king,
about a 2 percent chance.
Two other finesses are interesting.
You hold Q5. Dummy has A43. You must play low from
the ace in dummy up to the queen
in your hand. If your rho has the king you win two tricks. If
lho has the king you only win one
trick. However, it is the best play as there is a 50 percent
chance to gain the max. The other
finesse that is truly an all around guess is one you hold 53
and dummy has KJ. You play low from
your hand. If lho play the ace your troubles are over. If
he plays low you must guess how the
queen and ace are divided. If you play the jack, you hope
lho holds the queen. Should you decide
to play the king, you hope lho holds the ace. You don't
care about the queen.
One should be aware of the percentages
of a double finesse. You hold 543, the dummy AJ10.
Odds are 3-1 in your favor that either
the king or queen is on side, held by lho. Play low to the
ten. If it loses come to your hand
and play low to the jack. You hold Q54, the dummy AJ9.
Play the queen. Whether or not it
loses to the king or lho covers your queen with the king,
come to your hand; take a second
finesse against the ten by playing the nine. You realize that
if
lho holds both the K and ten you
win three tricks, about a 25 percent bet.
A finesse similar to the last
one, but in reality quite different is where you hold Q54, the
dummy AJ2. Oh, those tens and nines
are so important. If lho holds the king you make two
tricks. Is there a chance to make
three tricks? Yes, but don't bet the ranch. Never the less you
can still give yourself the chance
by playing low to the jack. When it holds lay down the ace.
Hopefully lho originally held King
and a spot card.