After last week's second column regarding hand combinations,
I thought it might be best to take
a break and discuss other elements of the game. However, so many
of you have conveyed to me
that this is such an integral part of the game that I should
continue. My suggestion to you is to
save this group of columns and study them at your leisure. All
of you must realize that at least
one of these combinations arise each time you become declarer.
I know that these articles are
truly necessary to help you become a better card handler. So,
as they say, "Let the games
begin".
Missing the queen when declarer holds five cards between he
and dummy finesse the jack with
AKJ10-4 to gain four tricks. With six cards AKJ109-4, though
the chance of success is only
18 percent also finesse the jack to obtain five tricks. Change
the holding slightly to AKJ98-43
(oh those tens, nines, and eights) playing lho for Q105 or Q10
finesse either the jack or nine to
win all five tricks, only a winner 5 percent of the time. Needing
only four tricks finesse the jack
(58 percent).
These next combinations holding six cards are most interesting.
AJ65-K9. Finesse the nine. If
this loses to the ten, cash ace/king. You win three tricks 68
percent of the time. Holding
AK9-J43 lead small to the nine hoping lho has both the queen/ten
(24 percent). Another 24
percent winner is to run the nine or jack holding AK5-J98.
When you and dummy have seven cards between you, finesse the
jack to win the maximum
number of tricks with these two holdings, AKJ1098-4 and AKJ987-4.
The first is 8 percent
better than playing ace/king and the second 2 percent better.
For you experts it is also 1 percent
better than finessing the nine. Holding a doubleton with five
cards in dummy (AKJ109-43)
finesse the jack. Do not play the ace first, as Q862 with lho
is more likely than a stiff queen
with rho.
Another seven-card combination to put in your playbook is
AK932-J4. Needing all five tricks
is only a 7 percent chance but if you must, run the jack or play
low to the nine (Lho must hold
Q105). For four tricks lead small to the jack. If it loses cash
the ace/king (68 percent). For
three tricks the 99 percent play is to lead small to the jack.
If it loses finesse the nine. Notice the
importance of the nine with this combination, AJ532-K9. For four
tricks it is a 68 percent best
to finesse the nine. Of course for either three or five tricks
play the king then finesse the jack.
The chance of making five tricks is only 18 percent.
Holding most combinations where four cards are in dummy and
three in your hand such as
AKJ9-432 cash the ace before finessing the jack. Notice this
confusing combination,
AK106-J43. After cashing the ace lead small to the ten. DO NOT
lead the jack as lho may have
begun with queen doubleton (Q5). To obtain all four tricks holding
AK32-J109 you cannot
afford to cash the ace first. Finesse the jack right away. Needing
only three tricks it is 100
percent whether or not you cash the ace first.
Dummy has J1054-you AK4. Cashing the ace and running the jack
is only 1 percent better
than cashing ace/king to win all four tricks. Neither way is
great, only 20 percent. Holding
J985-AK4, cash the ace/king. Last but quite common is J432-AK9.
To win all four tricks is
only 9 percent, but to do so lead small to the nine. To win three
tricks with this combo cash the
ace/king and lead to the jack (85 percent).
There are many combinations where declarer and dummy hold
eight in the suit. Here are some
that will probably give you the most trouble. There is a 37 percent
chance of success finessing
the jack holding a singleton versus seven in dummy (AKJ10932-4),
4 percent better than
playing ace/king. Holding a second small card in your hand do
not play the ace before
finessing the jack. Holding J9832-AK4 cash the ace, go to dummy
in another suit and run the
nine (96 percent). To win four tricks holding AK95-J432, play
ace/king (30 percent). To
guarantee three tricks at rubber or teams holding AJ32-K954 play
the ace and finesse the nine
(100 percent).
With nine cards in the suit, "To drop the queen or not
to drop the queen. That is the question?"
At matchpoints where you need the maximum number of tricks it
is always better (with no
adverse info) to play the ace/king. This line of play is a 53
percent certainty, 2 percent better
than finessing the jack. Holding a singleton (AKJ76532-4) the
drop is 8 percent better than
finessing. However, at IMPs (teams) with holdings such as J5432-AK87
if only four tricks are
needed to secure the contract, finesse the eight in case rho
opponent is void. This works 100
percent of the time. Rubber bridge or team players just want
to be sure of their contract.
Holding ten cards always play ace/king. However, you can add
to your percentage of success
by lulling the opponent into covering when you lead the jack
such as AK965432-J7. Lho may
cover holding Q108. Play the king first with this holding, K65432-AJ98
to protect against one
of the 3-0 breaks.