function [vd,str,imf] = errors(Bh,swish,nn) % Computing variance decompositions and impulse functions with % [vd,str,imf] = errors(Bh,swish,nn) % where imf and vd is of the same format as in RATS, that is to say: % Column: nvar responses to 1st shock, % nvar responses to 2nd shock, and so on. % Row: steps of impulse responses. % vd: variance decompositions % str: standard errors of each variable, steps-by-nvar % imf: impulse response functions % Bh is the estimated reduced form coefficient in the form % Y(T*nvar) = XB + U, X: T*k, B: k*nvar. The matrix % form or dimension is the same as "Bh" from the function "sye"; % swish is the inv(A0) in the structural model A(L)y(t) = e(t). % nn is the numbers of inputs [nvar,lags,# of impulse responses]. nvar = nn(1); lags = nn(2); imstep = nn(3); % number of steps for impulse responses Ah = Bh'; % Row: nvar equations % Column: 1st lag (with nvar variables) to lags (with nvar variables) + const = k. imf = zeros(imstep,nvar*nvar); vd = imf; % Column: nvar responses to 1st shock, nvar responses to 2nd shock, and so on. % Row: steps of impulse responses. str = zeros(imstep,nvar); % initializing standard errors of each equation M = zeros(nvar*(lags+1),nvar); % Stack lags M's in the order of, e.g., [Mlags, ..., M2,M1;M0] M(1:nvar,:) = swish; Mtem = M(1:nvar,:); % temporary M -- impulse responses. % Mvd = Mtem.^2; % saved for the cumulative sum later Mvds = (sum(Mvd'))'; str(1,:) = sqrt(Mvds'); % standard errors of each equation Mvds = Mvds(:,ones(size(Mvds,1),1)); Mvdtem = (100.0*Mvd) ./ Mvds; % tempoary Mvd -- variance decompositions % first or initial responses to % one standard deviation shock (or forecast errors). % Row: responses; Column: shocks % % * put in the form of "imf" imf(1,:) = Mtem(:)'; vd(1,:) = Mvdtem(:)'; t = 1; ims1 = min([imstep-1 lags]); while t <= ims1 Mtem = Ah(:,1:nvar*t)*M(1:nvar*t,:); % Row: nvar equations, each for the nvar variables at tth lag M(nvar+1:nvar*(t+1),:)=M(1:nvar*t,:); M(1:nvar,:) = Mtem; % ** impulse response functions imf(t+1,:) = Mtem(:)'; % stack imf with each step, Row: 6 var to 1st shock, 6 var to 2nd shock, etc. % ** variance decompositions Mvd = Mvd + Mtem.^2; % saved for the cumulative sum later Mvds = (sum(Mvd'))'; str(t+1,:) = sqrt(Mvds'); % standard errors of each equation Mvds = Mvds(:,ones(size(Mvds,1),1)); Mvdtem = (100.0*Mvd) ./ Mvds; % tempoary Mvd -- variance decompositions vd(t+1,:) = Mvdtem(:)'; % stack vd with each step, Row: 6 var to 1st shock, 6 var to 2nd shock, etc. t= t+1; end for t = lags+1:imstep-1 Mtem = Ah(:,1:nvar*lags)*M(1:nvar*lags,:); % Row: nvar equations, each for the nvar variables at tth lag M(nvar+1:nvar*(t+1),:) = M(1:nvar*t,:); M(1:nvar,:)=Mtem; % ** impulse response functions imf(t+1,:) = Mtem(:)'; % stack imf with each step, Row: 6 var to 1st shock, 6 var to 2nd shock, etc. % ** variance decompositions Mvd = Mvd + Mtem.^2; % saved for the cumulative sum later Mvds = (sum(Mvd'))'; str(t+1,:) = sqrt(Mvds'); % standard errors of each equation Mvds = Mvds(:,ones(size(Mvds,1),1)); Mvdtem = (100.0*Mvd) ./ Mvds; % tempoary Mvd -- variance decompositions vd(t+1,:) = Mvdtem(:)'; % stack vd with each step, Row: 6 var to 1st shock, 6 var to 2nd shock, etc. end