Global warming is an issue of great importance. Let there be no doubt, the evidence is overwhelming: Earth
is warming.
The questions that remain are;
1) What is the cause of the global warming? Is it man made atmospheric
carbon dioxide? Or is the cause of global warming natural variability?
2) How will politicians spend money while waiting for the answer to question #1?
I will demonstrate that the Earth’s warming climate is a result of natural variance and that man
made changes in the warming climate in the last 40 years are negligible at best. I will insert pieces of the puzzle
from new scientific studies that were not available or were ignored in previous global warming studies.
I add a possible piece of the puzzle, nuclear weapons testing in the late 1950’s and early 1960’s,
that may have made a small contribution to cooling at that time.
After reviewing numerous scientific studies and observing data, it is clear that the theory that “man
made increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide are causing global warming” is not likely.
I will demonstrate that a negative trend in
the El Nino Southern Oscillation (more and stronger La Ninas) from 1945 to 1975 and a postive trend in the ENSO from 1975
to present (more and stronger El Ninos) correlates better with global temperature changes than greenhouse theory. Thus,
ENSO is probably the largest contributor to global warming in the past 30 years.
The economic and political climate surrounding this issue has made it nearly impossible
for scientists and researchers to objectively view the mountain of recent data.
While I will use much of the available and updated scientific data,
I will also interject common sense, something that is seriously lacking in the debate on this issue. For instance, you
might notice my use of the one ten-thousandth figure. Were you aware that the total man made CO2 increase in the
atmosphere over the last 150 years is just that, one ten-thousandth of total atmosphere?