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Strauss and Howe resources. I put together a diagram of the four turnings, with descriptive phrases, all of which are taken from the book The Fourth Turning. I ended up creating a handy reference chart.
Another great Strauss & Howe resource is Mike Alexander's Model for the Saeculum. What makes Mike's site so cool is that he has actually done considerable research using statistical data (crime stats, for example) to test the predictions of the S&H model. He also offers some interesting theories of his own to elaborate on cycles in history.
Jim Goulding has a web site based in part on Strauss & Howe's generatons work which emphasizes economics. He features a number of downloadable Excel workbooks, including an index of the book The Fourth Turning.
Finally, there's the web site Generational Dynamics, coming from John J. Xenakis. John really understands generational issues and has some very compelling insights on his site and blog, but I have to disagree with one of his fundamental premises - that we're headed for a "clash of civilizations"-type great war in the next generation. Despite my recent post worrying about the Iran situation, I just don't see WWIII around the corner.
I recommend all of these sites and hope they further your quest to understand generations and cycles of history.
Posted by Steve at 2:18 PM
Still waiting for things to really get grim in the Middle East. Seriously. Historian David Kaiser has a post on his blog, pointing out the irreconcilable differences between two generations of Arabs and Israelis. We're talking about the war in Lebanon here, but that war is really a front for Iran, free to play hegemonic power games with the U.S. bogged down in Iraq. So the really dangerous irreconcilable difference is the one that may emerge once the United States' Boomer leadership is fully in charge and calls the Iranians to task.
Or think about it this way: recall that World War I was fought with the goal of dismantling empires and, in President Woodrow Wilson's words, making the world "safe for Democracy." His goals were not far removed from those of our current president. As awful as the carnage was in WWI, it was kept primarily on the battle lines. But in the next war (WWII) the enemy was presented with the ultimatum of unconditional surrender, which the American public accepted as a necessary evil, and consequently millions of civilians perished.
Posted by Steve at 9:43 PM
What a joke. The only commentary you'll ever need on the political scene in the United States of America today comes from those very funny guys on Comedy Central. You know the ones - Jon Stewart on The Daily Show and Stephen Colbert on The Colbert Report. These two Gen-Xers skewer the older generations who run the show in D.C., mocking up video clips of them making idiots of themselves, and having a grand old time of it.
What these guys are doing - you're missing out if you don't watch their shows - is chronicling the last days of the Silent-generation led government in power. It's so easy to make fun of because it really is completely washed up and incapable of accomplishing anything meaningful. The old guard just futzes about and lets the Boomers rant on about moralistc "issues" like gay marriage, video games, and flag-burning. Meanwhile, real issues like mounting public debt and crafting working War on Terror policies are ignored or treated timidly with "non-binding resolutions."
As for the "serious news" shows on other TV channels, I think they're reporting on Star Jones and Barbara Walters cat-fighting, and on George Bush's love affair with the soon-to-retire Japanese Prime Minister. Oh, and whether or not Jon Stewart is a threat to Democracy.
I repeat: what a joke.
Posted by Steve at 7:43 PM
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the count at the ageless project 8/15/2006
| G.I. | 7 |
| Silent | 65 |
| Boomer | 278 |
| Gen-X | 1095 |
| Millennial | 265 |
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