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Does our war against Iraq violate international law?
I was looking at the judgment in the Nuremberg Trials the other day. There is a strong argument that our war against Iraq
violates international law as enunciated in that judgment. "The judgment of the International Military Tribunal was handed down on September 30-October 1, 1946. Among notable features
of the decision was the conclusion, in accordance with the London Agreement, that to plan or instigate an aggressive war is
a crime under the principles of international law."
Is the war on Iraq an "aggressive war"? Oddly, it seems that there has been difficulty reaching consensus on the exact
definition of that term, as shown by this article by one of the Nuremberg prosecutors.
Presumably a war would be "non-aggressive" if it were waged in response to the other country’s attack on one's country
(e.g., Pearl Harbor) or one's ally (e.g., Iraq’s 1991 invasion of Kuwait). But Iraq did not attack the United States:
as President Bush recently belatedly admitted, Iraq had nothing to do with the September 11, 2001 attacks against the United States. Iraq had seized Kuwait long before, but we successfully
fought a war in 1991 to restore Kuwait's sovereignty, so that can hardly justify waging war against Iraq again in 2003.
What about weapons of mass destruction? Even assuming that the United States reasonably believed that Iraq had WMD’s, that
cannot suffice to make our war against Iraq "non-aggressive." Many countries, emphatically including the United States, have
WMD’s.
Perhaps our war against Iraq could properly be deemed non-aggressive if we reasonably believed that Iraq
posed an imminent threat to us, for example if we had a strong basis for believing that it possessed large quantities of WMD's
and intended to use them against us in the near future. (Ironically, conservatives are denying that the administration
ever claimed that Iraq posed an imminent threat. Josh Marshall has a contest to disprove that contention (scroll down to Oct. 30 2:18 p.m. entry). But if there was no imminent threat, that would only
prove beyond doubt that this was an aggressive war.)
But it appears that the administration's claims that Iraq had WMD's were massively over-hyped. Moreover, even if we had
a basis for thinking that Iraq had some WMD's (this was commonly believed, even by opponents of the war),
there was no apparent reason for thinking that Iraq had an imminent intent to use them against the United States. Our 1991
war against Iraq had surely engendered ill will by it against the United States, yet we had no evidence that Iraq had been
involved in any actual or planned attacks in the intervening 12 years. Iraq's willingness to allow U.N. weapons inspectors
in, and the fact that the inspectors found no WMD's, also strongly undercut any claim that our subsequent war against Iraq
was non-aggressive.
The inescapable conclusion appears to be that our war against Iraq was an aggressive war that violated international law.
Sadly, the United States has come a long way, in the wrong direction, since Supreme Court Justice Robert Jackson's August
12, 1945 statement that "our position is that no grievances or policies will justify resort to aggressive war. It is utterly renounced and condemned
as an instrument of policy."
ADDENDUM: CJW, a commenter over at billmon, noted that if you replace "Japan" with "the United States" in the 1945 Potsdam Declaration (the proclamation by the United States, Britain, and China outlining the terms under which they would halt their war against
Japan), it still works pretty well:
(6) There must be eliminated for all time the authority and influence of those who have deceived and misled the people
of Japanthe United States into embarking on world conquest, for we insist that a new order
of peace, security and justice will be impossible until irresponsible militarism is driven from the world.
Atrios threatened with lawsuit by cyber-stalker Luskin
The blogosphere is up in arms over a threatening letter that Atrios has received from Donald Luskin's lawyer. Atrios is the celebrated "left blogger" whom cartoonist
Tom Tomorrow rightly calls "the king" of the blogosphere. Donald Luskin is a right-wing blogger, a strange fellow to whom National Review Online
has inexplicably given a column. Luskin is obsessed with legendary New York Times Op-Ed columnist
Paul Krugman and ceaselessly tries to poke holes in his writings. The index to Luskin's blog lists over 100 anti-Krugman pieces he's written in the past year. Luskin also went to a Krugman lecture and book signing and then wrote a totally creepy account entitled "Face to Face with Evil." Atrios documents some more weird stuff Luskin has done here.
Luskin's lawyer's letter threatens Atrios with legal action for an October 7 post in which Atrios linked to
one of Luskin's screeds against Krugman, which Atrios captioned, "Diary of a Stalker." Luskin's lawyer is demanding that Atrios remove the post from his website, as well as his readers' comments
to it (including one of mine!), which heaped well-deserved mock and ridicule upon Luskin. Atrios says that Luskin has refused his perfectly reasonable suggestion that Atrios would take a look at removing specific readers' comments if
Luskin would identify those he considered defamatory.
This threatened lawsuit has as much merit as Fox News' trademark infringement lawsuit against Al Franken, which Judge
Denny Chin laughed out of court. As Billmon observes, "stalker" is a perfectly accurate description of Luskin: someone who "follows or
observes (a person) persistently, especially out of obsession or derangement." As The Mighty Reason Man memorably observed, "Seriously, I’ve paid less attention to girls I wanted to have sex with than Luskin does to Krugman."
Moreover, Luskin has previously been called a stalker by, among others, Krugman and right-wing blogger Glenn Reynolds, Luskin's buddy. The piece de resistance is that even National Review Online captioned one of Luskin's
columns there about Krugman, "We Stalked. He Balked." Curiously, Luskin hasn't sued Krugman or Reynolds or NRO. What a buffoon.
UPDATE: Three years ago, Luskin wrote in a column at thestreet.com that "[t]he host of an online discussion board is no more in a position to monitor and assure
the quality of every posted message than a ‘common carrier’ such as AT&T is to monitor every utterance made over its telephone
network. . . . "[L]et’s not do anything draconian that might have the effect of inhibiting the freewheeling, empowering nature
of online discussion boards." Gee, Donny, do you suppose having your lawyer write a threatening letter to someone
who runs an online discussion board might have exactly the inhibiting effect you decry?
What's most upsetting is that [Luskin] is employing a frivolous lawsuit in order to punish someone for exercising their
First Amendment rights and that he is piggybacking an abusive subpoena to expose Atrios' identity. So he's not only engaged
in frivolous litigation (aren't conservatives against frivolous lawsuits?), but also an abuse of the discovery process (aren't
conservatives opposed to the dirty tricks of trial lawyers?). I guess Luskin is only opposed to frivolous lawsuits by other
people, and dirty tricks by lawyers who are not representing him.
Krugman: for Bush, politics takes priority over war on terror
Paul Krugman writes in his latest column that in the Bush administration politics, including pandering to the Religious
Right, takes precedence over the war on terror:
Why is aiding a brutal dictator O.K., while trying to understand why others don't trust us — and doing something
to create that trust — isn't? Why won't the administration mollify Muslims by firing Lt. Gen. William Boykin, whose
anti-Islamic remarks have created vast ill will, from his counterterrorism position? Why won't it give moderate Muslims a
better argument against the radicals by opposing Ariel Sharon's settlement policy, when a majority of Israelis think that
some settlements should be abandoned, and even Israeli military officers have become bitterly critical of Mr. Sharon?
The answer is that in these cases politics takes priority over the war on terror. Moderate Muslims would have more faith
in America's good intentions if there were at least the appearance of a distinction between the U.S. and the Sharon government
— but the administration seeks votes from those who think that supporting Israel means supporting whatever Mr. Sharon
does. It's sheer folly to keep General Boykin in his present position, but as Howard Fineman writes in a Newsweek Web-exclusive
column, the administration doesn't want "to make a martyr of a man who depicts himself as a Christian Soldier, marching off
to war."
Muslims are completely wrong to think that the U.S. is engaged in a war against Islam. But that misperception flourishes
in part because the domestic political strategy of the Bush administration — no longer able to claim the Iraq war was
a triumph, and with little but red ink to show for its economic plans — looks more and more like a crusade. "Election
Boils Down to a Culture War" was the title of Mr. Fineman's column. But the analysis was all about abortion and euthanasia,
and now we hear that opposition to gay marriage will be a major campaign theme. This isn't a culture war — it's a religious
war.
The whole column is here. (Yay! Finally figured out how to do that HTML thing!)
Illinois voters have soured so dramatically on President Bush, his handling of the economy and his Iraq policy that half
say they don't want to see him re-elected next year while fewer than four in 10 say they do, a new Tribune/WGN-TV poll shows.
Bush's
nose dive in popularity has been so precipitous that, in just four months, his approval rating among Illinois voters has dropped
from 57 percent to 46 percent, the poll found. Over the same time, the share of voters who say they disapprove of the job
he's doing as president has climbed from 34 percent to 44 percent.
Though Bush lost Illinois by a wide margin in the 2000 election, voters in the state warmed up to him considerably after
the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks. But the survey shows that the patriotic rally-round-the-president effect has rapidly
melted away.
Especially troubling for Bush's standing in Illinois are the unfavorable attitudes toward him felt by
voters who label themselves as political independents. Any Republican candidate must be able to attract the support of independents
statewide in order to have a competitive chance to overcome the overwhelming number of Democratic votes coming out of Chicago.
. . .
Even in such traditional Republican enclaves as the collar counties, the latest survey showed only a bare 51 percent
of voters there support a second term for Bush while one-third turn thumbs down. Among independents statewide, 44 percent
reject a second Bush term while 31 percent support the president's re-election.
Illinois has been a bellwether state. For the past century, it has almost always voted for the presidential
candidate who won the popular vote nationwide. The last exception was 1976, when Jimmy Carter won the presidency
despite losing Illinois to Republican President Gerald Ford.
St. Petersburg Times columnist Robyn E. Blumner discusses the "improvements" Bush and Ashcroft want to make to
the already-unconstitutional "USA PATRIOT" (for those not in the know, that stands for "Uniting and Strengthening America
by Providing Appropriate Tools Required to Intercept and Obstruct Terrorism") Act:
Bush wants three additional powers from Congress. First, he wants to give the Justice Department the authority to confiscate
records and compel testimony without review by a court or grand jury. ...Second, Bush wants to chip away at the right to bail.
Current law allows a judge to deny bond for anyone shown to be dangerous or a flight risk. And, for anyone accused of international
terrorism, there is a presumption against granting bond.
And third, Bush wants to expand the reach of the federal death penalty by making it applicable to "domestic terrorism."...Bush
also wants the death penalty for those convicted of providing "material support for terrorism," a law that can be violated
even when people think they are giving money to a charity and don't know the group is a designated terrorist organization.
In the latest "1984"-type news, the White House has disabled portions of the official "whitehouse.gov" website pertaining
to Iraq so Google and other search engines are not able to search and record their content. http://www.bway.net/~keith/whrobots/nontech.html Sisyphus Shrugged (http://www.livejournal.com/users/jmhm -- scroll down) has listed the blocked directories:
The Bush administration has apparently done this to impede journalists and others from finding out what it has
said about Iraq in the past and to enable the White House to revise inconvenient portions of history as it goes along.
The administration has previously been caught doing this. On or about August 18, it revised references to Dubya's
(in)famous May 1 "Operation Flightsuit" speech reflecting that "combat operations in Iraq have ended," to read that "major
combat operations have ended." http://www.differentstrings.info/archives/002813.html Bloggers caught this change because Google had cached the original version. The administration wants to minimize
such embarrassments in the future.
UPDATE 10/29/03 12:52 a.m.: The "Dead Parrots Society" blog reports that someone at the White
House offered an innocent-sounding explanation
for this. No doubt the people who understand the technical stuff will inform us whether the explanation is plausible
or not.
Check out this Ted Rall cartoon, Presidential Swap Comics, examing what would've happened if Dubya had been president
in 1941, and FDR today: http://www.ucomics.com/rallcom/2003/10/16/.
Three citrus contractors were sentenced to prison terms Wednesday for enslaving undocumented farm workers, threatening
them with violence and holding them hostage over alleged debts.
The three men were convicted in June of involuntary
servitude, harboring undocumented workers, interfering with interstate commerce by extortion and using a firearm.
Brothers
Ramiro and Juan Ramos employed more than 700 farm laborers, many of them undocumented immigrants from Mexico.
They
each were sentenced to 12 years and three months in prison and must forfeit real estate and personal property worth $3 million.
Their cousin, Jose Ramos, was sentenced to 10 years, three months in prison. Defense attorney Joaquin Perez said the Ramoses
were scapegoats for a larger industry-wide problem. . . .
[Coalition for Immokalee Workers staff] member Julia Perkins said it was the fifth case that resulted
in convictions on similar slavery charges in as many years. She accused the [Florida] state agriculture industry
of looking the other way as contractors employ illegal aliens who have few rights. http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2002/11/21/national/main530239.shtml
2.
In a sweeping crackdown on undocumented workers, federal agents arrested more than 300 people at Wal-Mart stores
in 21 states Thursday and raided the retail giant's world headquarters in Arkansas.
Paul Krugman comments on Treasury Secretary John Snow's recent prediction that the U.S. economy will add
two million jobs before the next election (a prediction that is widely being criticized as unrealistically high):
Mr. Bush's handlers have often managed to have small achievements hailed as triumphs by persuading people to set the bar
very low. Now his officials are trying to convince the public that if, after several years of dismal performance, they can
achieve one year of job creation at a rate below the average rate Bill Clinton achieved over eight years, this will constitute
a great economic victory.
Robert Mitchell helpfully explains the Bush Doctrine, the basis for our preemptive war against Iraq:
Perhaps we should simplify the Bush Doctrine so everybody understands it. It is our policy to attack and kill everybody
who doesn’t like us, because it stands to reason that if they don’t like us they must have an ambition to threaten us, and
there’s the ball game right there.
Michael Kinsley explains in Slate why Bush's prohibition on stem-cell research using new lines makes
no sense whatsoever:
The week-old embryos used for stem-cell research are microscopic clumps of cells, unthinking and unknowing, with fewer
physical human qualities than a mosquito. Fetal-tissue research has used brain cells from aborted fetuses, but this is not
that. Week-old, lab-created embryos have no brain cells.
Furthermore, not a single embryo dies because of stem-cell research, which simply uses a tiny fraction of the embryos that
live and die as a routine part of procedures at fertility clinics. And actual stem-cell therapy for real patients, if it is
allowed to develop, will not even need these surplus embryos. Once a usable line is developed from an embryo, the cells for
treatment can be developed in a laboratory.
None of this matters if you believe that a microscopic embryo is a human being with the same human rights as you and me.
George W. Bush claims to believe that, and you have to believe something like that to justify your opposition to stem-cell
research. But Bush cannot possibly believe that embryos are full human beings, or he would surely oppose modern fertility
procedures that create and destroy many embryos for each baby they bring into the world. Bush does not oppose modern fertility
treatments. He even praised them in his anti-stem-cell speech.
It's not a complicated point. If stem-cell research is morally questionable, the procedures used in fertility clinics are
worse. You cannot logically outlaw the one and praise the other. And surely logical coherence is a measure of moral sincerity.
If he's got both his facts and his logic wrong—and he has—Bush's alleged moral anguish on this subject is unimpressive.
In fact, it is insulting to the people (including me) whose lives could be saved or redeemed by the medical breakthroughs
Bush's stem-cell policy is preventing.
Press forbidden to photograph dead soldiers' homecomings
I recently reported that the Bush administration has declared hospitals and morgues in Iraq off limits to the press. Here's BushCo's
latest heavy-handed attempt to suppress the bad news from Iraq:
Since the end of the Vietnam War, presidents have worried that their military actions would lose support once the public
glimpsed the remains of U.S. soldiers arriving at air bases in flag-draped caskets.
To this problem, the Bush administration has found a simple solution: It has ended the public dissemination of such images
by banning news coverage and photography of dead soldiers' homecomings on all military bases. http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A55816-2003Oct20.html
In related news, Reporters Without Borders rates the degree of freedom of the press in the
United States just 31st out of 166 countries rated, tied with Greece and behind Finland, Iceland, Netherlands, Norway,
Denmark, Trinidad and Tobago, Belgium, Germany, Sweden, Canada, Latvia, Czech Republic, Estonia, Slovakia, Switzerland, Austria,
Ireland, Lithuania, New Zealand, Slovenia, Hungary, Jamaica, South Africa, Costa Rica, Uruguay, France, the United Kingdom,
Portugal, Benin, and Timor-Leste. These rankings are for press freedom within the country's borders. As
to freedom of the press for news coverage from abroad, the United States was ranked an abysmal 135th out of 162 because of
the U.S. Army's responsibility for the death of several journalists during the Iraq war. http://www.rsf.org/article.php3?id_article=8247
William Rivers Pitt has an excellent piece, "Anyone but Bush," in which he explains at length why he'd vote for
a baloney sandwich over Bush --http://truthout.org/docs_03/102203A.shtml. A brief excerpt:
I do not hate George W. Bush merely for the sake of hatred, or because he is a Republican. I hate him
because he is a cancer that is rotting out the guts of this country. I hate him because he would not know the truth
if it crawled up his leg and grabbed him by the nose.
Gene Lyons has a wonderful, must-read piece entitled "Bush's Bizarro World." An excerpt:
Either Rush Limbaugh’s former housekeeper has been doping my morning coffee or we are living in Bizarro World. If you
don’t recall the old DC comics, Bizarro World was created accidentally by the mad scientist Lex Luthor in a futile quest to
clone Superman for evil purposes. Bizarro Superman turned out to have most of the Man of Steel’s powers, but none of his intelligence.
Greenish in hue and speaking pidgin English like Tarzan or George W. Bush, he showed up at the Daily Planet and began stalking
Lois Lane. Needless to say, the real Superman defeated his rival in aerial combat, although Bizarro World adventures became
a continuing theme, a distorted mirror image of the Caped Crusader’s preferred reality of "Truth, Justice and the American
Way." So has Lex Luthor cloned the GOP? The State Department’s battling the Pentagon over Iraq, the CIA’s at war with the
White House over who leaked a covert operative’s identity, Rush Limbaugh’s a junkie, a steroid-enhanced masher’s governor
of California, a threestar general’s making speeches claiming that God appointed George W. Bush to fight a holy war against
Satan’s Islamic allies, and what’s the big problem worrying conservative pundits? Why, a scourge of irrational "Bush haters."
Michael Moore is asking a lot of questions about the Bush family's relationship with the Saudis, including the bin Laden
family, in his new book "Dude, Where's My Country?" Here's a few:
Mr. Bush, in case you don't understand just how bizarre the media's silence is regarding your family's connections with
bin Laden, let me draw an analogy to how the press or Congress might have handled something like this if the same shoe had
been on the Clinton foot. If after the terrorist attack on the Federal Building in Oklahoma City, it was revealed that President
Bill Clinton and his family had financial dealings with Timothy McVeigh's family, what do you think your Republican Party
and the media would have done with that one? Do you think at least a couple of questions might have been asked, like "What
is that all about?" Be honest, you know the answer. They would have skinned Clinton alive and thrown what was left of his
carcass in Gitmo.
Or, to use the Clinton analogy again, imagine, in the hours after the Oklahoma City bombing, Bill Clinton suddenly started
worrying about the "safety" of the McVeigh family up in Buffalo -- and then arranged a free trip for them out of the country.
What would you and the Republicans have said about that? Suddenly, a stain on a blue dress probably wouldn't have been the
top priority for a witch hunt, would it?
Mr. Bush, the bin Ladens are not the only Saudis with whom you and your family have a close personal relationship. The
entire royal family seems to be indebted to you -- or is it the other way around?
Ashcroft pulling out all the stops to prosecute protesters
So reports law professor Jonathan Turley in the Los Angeles Times: http://www.latimes.com/news/opinion/commentary/la-oe-turley17oct17,1,3070227.story?coll=la-news-comment-opinions Funny how Ashcroft is so vigorous about prosecuting people who engage in civil disobedience, but just can't
for the life of him find those senior administration officials who compromised our national security (in the
area of weapons of mass destruction, no less) and committed felonies by outing CIA operative Valerie Plame.
Here's a provocative piece by Christopher Hitchens -- "Mommie Dearest: The pope beatifies Mother Teresa, a fanatic,
a fundamentalist, and a fraud." http://slate.msn.com//id/2090083/
Public supports universal health care by almost 2-1 margin
An ABC News-Washington Post poll released today
found that more than half of Americans, 54 percent, are dissatisfied with the overall quality of health care in the United
States while 44 percent are satisfied. That dissatisfaction is 10 percentage points higher than in 2000 and higher than it
has been in the past decade when compared with earlier surveys. . . . By almost a 2-1 margin in this poll, 62 percent to 32
percent, Americans said they preferred a universal system that would provide coverage to everyone under a government program,
as opposed to the current employer-based system.
Calpundit (Kevin Drum) has a nice piece analyzing how, despite the Bush administration's assurances, its actions indicate
that things are not going well in Iraq -- http://www.calpundit.com/archives/002458.html.
Presumably if things were going better there also would be no need for the administration's heavy-handed efforts
to keep a lid on the media:
Someone threw a homemade grenade at the Americans, wounding 13 servicemen. According to the Oct. 8 Daily Threat Assessment—the
Coalition’s internal casualty report, which was shown to NEWSWEEK—eight soldiers were wounded seriously enough
to be evacuated to military hospitals. Yet at a press conference the next day, there was no mention of the attack. Pushed
by reporters, U.S. officials would only say the incident was under investigation. It was as if the ambush, and the casualties,
had never happened.
In Baghdad, official control over the news is getting tighter. Journalists used to walk freely into the city’s
hospitals and the morgue to keep count of the day’s dead and wounded. Now the hospitals have been declared off-limits
and morgue officials turn away reporters who aren’t accompanied by a Coalition escort. Iraqi police refer reporters’
questions to American forces; the Americans refer them back to the Iraqis.
Reporters and government officials have always squabbled over access; but the news coverage of the messy, ongoing
conflict in Iraq has worsened the already tense relationship between the press and the administration. American officials
accuse reporters of indulging in a morbid obsession with death and destruction, and ignoring how Iraq has improved since Saddam
Hussein was toppled. Reporters grumble that the secretive White House and Pentagon hold back just how grim and chaotic the
situation really is.
Sadly, these journalists tend to lack the perspective on events in Iraq of Congressman George
Nethercutt (R-WA), who said, "the story of what we've done in the postwar period is remarkable. . . . It is a better
and more important story than losing a couple of soldiers every day."http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/politics/2001766576_webnethercutt15.htmlAnother compassionate conservative speaks!
Boston Globe to Bush: act like you're the President
A Boston Globe editorial suggests that Dubya should actually pretend that he's in charge of his administration:
At a time when President Bush ought to be doing everything he can to show that he is an engaged commander in chief, he
is acting as though there is nothing he can or should do to discover and punish the officials who leaked to columnist Robert
Novak the identity of the CIA's Valerie Plame Wilson. Bush's passivity in response to a political dirty trick that harms US
intelligence operations and demoralizes intelligence officers is an abdication of responsibility.
Bush has left the work of locating the leakers to the Justice Department and the FBI, while he plays the role of a detached
observer. This stance makes him look like a weak leader presiding over a band of unruly subordinates who feud with each other,
betraying patriotic Americans like Ms. Wilson, with no fear of being brought to hand by the president.
If he wished to do so, Bush could summon the likely suspects from the vice president's office, the Pentagon, and the
National Security Council to the Oval Office and tell them that, as their president, he is ordering the officials who gave
away Valerie Plame's cover to confess their role and resign.
What the leakers did was not a merely technical violation of the law. By revealing her identity, the dirty tricksters
in the administration sacrificed all the informants and sources who had ever, wittingly or unwittingly, given Wilson intelligence
information. Perhaps even more destructive was the leakers' apparent attempt to show the CIA there is a price to pay for refusing
to tailor the agency's analyses to the wishes of policy makers.
Bush's terrible, horrible, no good very bad October
DailyKos points out a very gratifying article in The Guardian detailing what a wretched month October has
been for Dubya. Among other things:
October 1 The justice department announces it has launched an inquiry into the White House leak identifying a CIA undercover
agent
October 2 The Iraq survey group, under weapons expert David Kay admits that six months after Baghdad's fall no weapons
of mass destruction have been found
October 4 The foundation run by the president's father announces it will bestow the George Bush Award for Excellence
in Public Service to Senator Edward Kennedy, arguably the president's sternest critic, who denounced the Iraq war as "a fraud"
October 6 The White House confirms that management of the Iraq occupation will be centralised in a new coordinating
group run by the national security adviser, Condoleezza Rice
October 7 The defence secretary, Donald Rumsfeld, says he was not told about the restructuring and insists there have
been no real changes
October 15 Senate votes against president and insists that half Iraq's $20bn reconstruction budget should be in the
form of loans
DailyKos has the latest on the Bush administration's effort to make sure we get as much good news, and as little bad
news, as possible out of Iraq. Their strategy, in brief: don't let Congressional Democrats in there, only
Republicans, and carefully screen what they're allowed to see. Appalling. http://www.dailykos.com/story/2003/10/17/14043/912
"What we have here is a form of looting." So says George Akerlof, a Nobel laureate in economics, of the Bush administration's
budget policies -- and he's right. With startling speed, we've blown right through the usual concerns about budget deficits
-- about their effects on interest rates and economic growth -- and into a range where the very solvency of the federal government
is at stake. Almost every expert not on the administration's payroll now sees budget deficits equal to about a quarter of
government spending for the next decade, and getting worse after that.
Hindsight, as they say,
is 20-20. Nevertheless, it is difficult to understand why America didn’t recognize the forces which drove its sudden
decline in status from the world’s only superpower to an almost second-world economy. Perhaps America was too busy honoring
its so-called “greatest generation” — those Americans who lived through the great depression of the 1930’s
and fought in the Second World War in the 1940’s — that it didn’t notice what its worst generation, the
“baby boomers,” were doing.
The first blow came in
2003. America had been in a long recession precipitated by the end of the “dot-com boom” and the terrorist attacks
of Sept. 11, 2001. Recovery had been delayed by the war to depose Saddam Hussein, civil unrest in Venezuela and coordinated
action by the OPEC oil cartel, all of which kept oil prices high. President George W. Bush sought to time an upswing in the
economy to coincide with his 2004 reelection campaign. He gave large tax credits to wealthy Americans and kept government
spending levels high (particularly in Iraq, where rebuilding costs exceeded 400 billion yen per month. What’s that?
Yes, I did say “per month.”).
By late 2003 the economy
was showing signs of life, and really took off when oil prices began to dip. (America never weaned its economy off of its
dependence on oil and such price fluctuations were keenly felt).
This recovery hid the seeds of America’s demise from the electorate:
an unprecedented budget deficit, large private debt loads and a crumbling infrastructure. Elected officials and the America
punditcracy were aware of these things, but their protests were lost in the wave of good feeling that came with the growing
economy. The American electorate was also distracted by seemingly trivial issues, such as the right of homosexuals to marry
and the criminal trial of a popular athlete.
Thus America was
unprepared for blow #2. In 2006 two terrorist attacks — a handheld missile launched at a Boeing 757 and a coordinated
suicide bombing at four shopping malls on major American shopping holiday in November — sent the economy spiraling.
Unlike in 2001 there was no government budget surplus to cushion the blow. In fact the government went further into deficit
when reduced tax revenues were combined with long-overdue domestic security expenditures to respond to the new threats.
Blow #3 was less visible but the worst of them all. The baby boom generation
was now well into its retirement years. An antiquated law entitled elderly Americans with a government grant regardless of
their needs. This program had already created a deficit which had been kept hidden from the general budget figures, hiding
the coming peril from the nation’s aging demographics. Even worse, America did not have the infrastructure to care for
its elderly (as many of you know, it is not the social custom in America for the elderly to live with their adult children,
but rather to live independently with hired help or in institutions designed to care for the aged).
Older Americans demanded even more government assistance with health care costs and vouchers
for institutional care. Because older Americans voted with greater frequency than the population at large, they held much
political power, and politicians were afraid to take positions against their interests.
This led to what Americans call “the Great Homelessness.” Unlike the last recession, American
homeowners could not cushion the recession by refinancing their mortgages at lower interest rates. Many two-income households
who lost one of their incomes soon looked to bankruptcy to shed their debt burden and start afresh, but they discovered that
“bankruptcy reform” successfully pushed by the credit industry in 2004 stymied such plans. Mortgage companies
soon became massive landlords — effectively renting back these homes to the former owners.
America witnessed two horrific phenomena. The first was the culmination of concentration of wealth trends
which had decelerated in the late 1990’s under President Bill Clinton but returned with a vengeance in the 2000s. Ninty-five
percent of the nation’s wealth was owned by a tenth of its populace. The next was what one American expression calls
“eating the seed corn” — money that should have been spent on repairing its infrastructure went to the care
of its elderly. Still this does not answer why America did not bounce back as it has in the
past. For that, you must look to the rest of the world. For example, take our experience in Japan.
By 2003 we were coming out of our own recession, but with less debt and much more investment
capital than the Americans. In 2004 Prime Minister Kozumi made major inroads in reducing some of the protectionist special
interests that had always hampered our economy. With 2005 came the great “Stem Cell Miracle” where Japanese researchers
won a race to cure Alzheimer and Parkinson’s disease. It should be noted that American researchers were hampered by
government restrictions on the use of stem cells, else they may have made the discoveries first. These proved to be not only
a milestone in medicine but the most profitable biotechnology patents in history. Japan also took advantage of America’s
recession to buy-up prime real estate and other opportunities. (Interesting sidebar: a popular myth in America, both during
the 1980s and today, is that Japan “bought it out” — when actually Japan’s acquisitions lagged behind
that of some European nations.)
It was probably inevitable that
a populist movement arose in America. By this time wealth had become so stratified that it made more sense to cut the economic
pie more equally than it did to try to expand the size of the pie: voters demanded national health insurance, housing subsidies
and other entitlements funded by large taxes on the wealthy. Many of the wealthy, being no dummies, saw what was coming took
a lesson from rich Britons and became “tax refugees,” moving overseas. This is why the world’s tallest building
is in Gatesville, Argentina. America also enacted protectionist barriers to protect its remaining industries.
The end result of all of this has been a restored social stability for Americans
and a significant rise in the median standard of living, but at a cost of an economic anchor that has weighed down America’s
economy ever since. Even when the economy is growing, much of this wealth must go to servicing its national debt, and much
of the rest goes into coffers overseas.
This blows me away. George H.W. Bush, Dubya's daddy, is presenting the 2003 George Bush
Award for Excellence in Public Service to none other than Ted Kennedy. Kennedy has forthrightly
stated that the Iraq war is a "fraud cooked up in Texas," http://www.boston.com/news/nation/washington/articles/2003/09/24/questions_growing_over_request_for_87b/ and that "the President's war has been revealed as mindless, needless, senseless, and reckless." http://truthout.org/docs_03/101803A.shtml Observers are interpreting this award as a slap in Dubya's face (how else can you interpret it?). Georgie Ann Geyer
writes in the Chicago Tribune:
The ideological rift between father and son has been growing ever since George W. began focusing on Iraq and, with that
obsession, proposed "theories" of unilateralism (America needs room in the world) and pre-emption (kill even your perceived
enemy before he kills you). But while family friends say Father Bush has made his disagreements known to his son, they clearly
have not found fertile soil in this White House.
More curious, and in many ways depressing, is the fact that this President
Bush has embarked upon a policy designed to counter, or even to wipe out, his father's entire political legacy.
The
father lived his life in the service of moderate and intelligent internationalism. His manners were always meticulously courteous,
as he wooed even critics overseas to see the American position. He was even-handed in the Middle East and thus brought the
area to the verge of peace for the first time in history; he was capable of using force but preferred to do it supported by
coalitions of friendly states, thus cementing international cooperation.
The son seems to have made posturing against
his father's accomplishments and beliefs his life's work. W has given way to a radical right that abhors international coalitions
and manners; he mocks the world and denies any need for its help. He has led the Middle East to the nadir of its hope and
possibilities, and he has led the United States to a moment in history in which we face asymmetric warfare from one end of
the globe to another. And above all, he has replaced his father's courtesy and good graces with an almost proud rudeness and
scorn for others.
What is going on? Yesterday I wrote about James Pinkerton, a conservative who has become thoroughly
disgusted with the Bush administration's lies. Now Atrios alerts us to Becky Miller, who wrote "A Conservative's Review
of Al Franken's 'Lies and the Lying Liars'" in The Oregonian:
What has utterly shocked me today is Al Franken's latest book, "Lies and the Lying Liars Who Tell Them: A Fair and Balanced
Look at the Right."
I read the book in one sitting. It is an amazing book, and -- if you're a decent, honest, hard-working, patriotic, true-blue
conservative who listens to Rush Limbaugh and Bill O'Reilly and watches Fox News -- an earth-shattering book
. . . .
The leaders we conservatives have trusted have taken advantage of our trust to line the pockets of the wealthy and powerful,
and it's time we rose up and drove out these greedy liars. They've hijacked and distorted our belief system for their own
gain, and in doing so are destroying our credibility.
And if we decent, honest, hard-working, patriotic, true-blue conservatives of this country neglect the duty we have to
our children and grandchildren, we will never be able to work with those decent, honest, hard-working, patriotic, true-blue
liberal Americans that these lying creeps have taught us to despise. We will never be safe to debate them or, when warranted,
to listen to them and maybe even agree with them. We will never be safe to work out our differences or to work together. And
we will never be able to build on the all-American sense of unity that burst forth following 9/11, only to disappear shortly
thereafter in a cloud of lying, greedy partisan politics.
I'm still a decent, honest, hard-working, patriotic, true-blue conservative. But Rush Limbaugh, Bill O'Reilly, Ann Coulter,
Sean Hannity and the rest of you lying liars -- I'm through with you!
Billmon (http://billmon.org/archives/000791.html) directs us to an excellent piece, "Bush & Co. Use the Orwell Sales Strategy" by Newsday columnist, former
Bush I administration staffer, and former supporter of Bush II James P. Pinkerton. Mr. Pinkerton, once a Dubya
supporter, has seen the light in a big way. He writes:
Bush insists that America is following a ‘clear strategy’ in Iraq, but it’s about as clear as a kaleidoscope, as explanations
and rationalizations rotate in an endless jumble.
And yet despite the best efforts of America’s would-be Ministry of
Truthsters to bedazzle and bamboozle the American people, the plain light of reality seems to be shining through. According
to a Gallup Poll released yesterday, a majority of Americans, for the first time, disapprove of the way Bush is handling Iraq.
Of
course, the administration won't give up without a struggle - including its struggle against reality, which has an awkward
way of bleeding into their happy talk. In the meantime, someone needs to write a sequel to 1984. It would be called 2003.
Concerned about the appearance of disarray and feuding within his administration as well as growing resistance to his policies
in Iraq, President Bush - living up to his recent declaration that he is in charge - told his top officials to "stop the leaks"
to the media, or else.
Retired Air Force Colonel Sam Gardiner has written a lengthy paper detailing the Anglo-American campaign of disinformation
about the war on Iraq. http://www.usnews.com/usnews/politics/whispers/documents/truth.pdf. Billmon says that Gardiner's "work just reinforces a fundamental truth: The war is not a series of discrete scandals
(Yellowcake, Wilsongate, Halliburton, etc.) but rather a single, monstrous, unified scandal -- probably the greatest
criminal conspiracy in the history of the United States. And it's still ongoing." http://billmon.org/archives/000782.html
Texeira's assessment of Dubya's chances is not some liberal fantasy. Even arch-media whore Bob Novak (the guy who outed
CIA operative Valerie Plame at the behest of "senior administration officials") says, "Replacing the old mantra
that there is no way for Bush to lose, panicky Republicans
Rush Limbaugh now admits being a drug addict, and that he has previously been treated twice for his addiction.
According to the National Enquirer, Rush took illegally took thousands of pills of prescription drugs over a four-year
period and turned his housekeeper (who went to the police in return for immunity) into his supplier. If all of this is
true, what should happen to Rush?
The usual liberal impulse is to feel sorry for a drug addict like Rush and want him to be treated rather than locked
up. But Rush himself has emphatically stated again and again that we should lock drug abusers up and throw away
the key. See http://www.atrios.blogspot.com/2003_10_05_atrios_archive.html#106588221845237012,
"There's nothing good about drug use," he was saying. "We know it. It destroys individuals. It destroys families. Drug
use destroys societies. Drug use, some might say, is destroying this country. And we have laws against selling drugs, pushing
drugs, using drugs, importing drugs. And the laws are good because we know what happens to people in societies and neighborhoods
which become consumed by them. And so if people are violating the law by doing drugs, they ought to be accused and they ought
to be convicted and they ought to be sent up." [...]
Even though blacks and whites break the drug laws in roughly equal percentages, he noted, black druggies go to prison
far more often than white druggies do. But to the liberal-bashing host, this was no reason to ease up on blacks.
"What this says to me," he told his listeners that day, "is that too many whites are getting away with drug use. Too
many whites are getting away with drug sales. Too many whites are getting away with trafficking in this stuff. The answer
to this disparity is not to start letting people out of jail because we're not putting others in jail who are breaking the
law. The answer is to go out and find the ones who are getting away with it, convict them and send them up the river, too."
http://www.dailykos.com/archives/004529.html#004529 (citing http://www.nynewsday.com/news/local/newyork/columnists/nyc-henn1003,0,5907810.column?coll=ny-ny-columnists). Rush is white. If he's been getting away with illegally abusing drugs, and with trafficking in them or inducing
his housekeeper to do so, by his own standards he should be convicted and sent up the river, plain and simple.
Uggabugga also has a nice piece on the subject:
"There has been a lot of talk in the last 12 hours about Rush Limbaugh's felonious drug use (and his pressuring of an employee
to obtain drugs). Scanning the web, we get the impression that conservatives like Sean Hannity are throwing down the gauntlet
and demanding that, in this instance, liberals should adhere to their principles and support lenient treatment of Limbaugh.
That probably means therapy/rehab instead of prison time. Our response is that we don't believe it's appropriate to extend
compassion in this instance - or any other "instance". That's selective and only addresses the conservative-caught-with-his-pants-down
du jour. Instance-by-instance leniency is the flip side of laws that are used to harass individuals or groups.
"Our
position is:
· We believe in equal treatment under the law.
· We support a change in drug legislation - to reduce or eliminate penalties and, where appropriate,
to treat use as a medical problem.
Bottom line: Rush has made a very lucrative career out of being obnoxious and cruel (RUSH: Everyone
knows there's a White House cat (displays picture of Socks the cat). Did you know there's a White House DOG? (displays
picture of 13-year-old Chelsea Clinton)). Targets of his cruelty have included drug abusers like Darryl Strawberry and Kurt
Cobain. If guilty, he deserves the same harsh treatment that he would advocate for anyone else in the same situation.
UPDATE: There's a nice piece, "The Hypocrisy of Rush Limbaugh," at http://www.buzzflash.com/contributors/03/10/con03152.html. And Rush's suggestion that he took all those thousands of pills because he was wracked by pain (which his defenders
have latched onto in seeking absolution for Rush -- e.g., Newsweek's cover "RUSH'S WORLD OF PAIN") are called into
question by his prior assertions that that there's nothing physically wrong with him. http://www.buzzflash.com/contributors/03/10/con03009.html.
Kevin Drum (Calpundit) has an outstanding, and very scary, piece on where the Republicans
are taking this country. He notes:
"The heart and soul of Republican grass roots activism can be found pretty easily: it's in Texas. The New Model
radical right took over the Texas Republican party a decade ago and elected George Bush governor. They have since taken over
the entire state and propelled one of their own to the presidency and another to leadership of the House of Representatives.
They bring a messianic fervor to their task, and after successfully taking over the second biggest state in the union their
sights are now set on the entire country. This is not a fringe group. It is the biggest, most active, most energetic, and
most determined segment of the Republican party today.
"So it's fair to ask, what do they really want? Not what their public face is, and not what's politically feasible
at the moment, but what are their goals? What kind of America do they want?"
Drum then looks at the 2000 Texas Republican platform -- the one the party wrote while Dubya was Governor of Texas. It's
flat-out Neanderthal stuff: abolish Social Security, abolish the minimum wage, eliminate the EPA
and various other federal agencies, get out of the United Nations, eliminate the Supreme Court's power to enforce
the Bill of Rights, eliminate separation of church and state, criminalize gay sex, outlaw abortion under all circumstances,
teach the Biblical story of creation in public-school science classes, etc.
Drum concludes:
"If this were just a lunatic fringe we could all have a good laugh over their manifesto and then go out for a beer. But
you can't dismiss it so easily. Texas-style conservatism has already put George Bush, Tom DeLay, and Karl Rove in charge of
the country, and it is very much the future of the Republican party. And for all the conservatives reading this: I know this
doesn't necessarily represent what you believe. But whether you like it or not, this kind of thinking does represent
a very strong, very fast growing segment of the leadership of your party, and this is why liberals think the Republican party
is just plain scary these days. We know that this is their agenda, we know that they really truly want to do this stuff, and
we know that they are steadily gaining influence.
"And to liberals: this is what we're fighting. Republicans may be smart enough to make soothing noises and put friendly
faces like George Bush's in front of their agenda, but behind the facade this is what they want and they won't rest until
they get it. It's our job to make sure everyone knows this."
Go read the whole thing: http://www.calpundit.com/archives/002380.html (Along the same lines, for heaven's sake read Paul Krugman's new book "The Great Unraveling.") And shout it
from the rooftops: the Republicans are out to repeal the Great Society and the New Deal, and destroy
this country as we know it. They are not "conservatives" at all, but radical maniacs.
Here's Republican National Committee Chairman Ed Gillespie on Hardball:
Hardball (MSNBC - 9/30/03):
CHRIS MATTHEWS: Don't you think it is more serious than Watergate, if you think about it?
RNC CHAIRMAN ED GILLESPIE: I think if the allegation is true, to reveal the identity of an undercover CIA operative is
abhorrent. And it should be a crime and it is a crime.
MATTHEWS: It would be worse than Watergate, wouldn't it?
GILLESPIE: You know, I just-yes, I suppose in terms of the real world implications of it.
MATTHEWS: Right.
GILLESPIE: It is not just politics. It is people's lives . . . .
Strong (and commendable) words from the RNC Chairman under the circumstances. I posted the above and this comment
at http://www.billmon.org: "It's gratifying to see that not every Republican is a complete and utter whore devoid of all principles."
Billmon's response: "And I'm sure he'll be made to pay dearly for it. Look for a full, complete and unreserved retraction
and apology sometime in the very near future." He may well be right, unfortunately.
One of Plame's former colleagues at the CIA had this to say:
TERENCE SMITH: Larry Johnson, explain what the dangers are that are inherent in identifying an undercover operator. What
is the worry here?
LARRY JOHNSON: Let's be very clear about what happened. This is not an alleged abuse. This is a confirmed abuse. I worked
with this woman. She started training with me. She has been undercover for three decades, she is not as Bob Novak suggested
a CIA analyst. But given that, I was a CIA analyst for four years. I was undercover. I could not divulge to my family outside
of my wife that I worked for the Central Intelligence Agency until I left the agency on September 30, 1989. At that point
I could admit it.
So the fact that she's been undercover for three decades and that has been divulged is outrageous because she was put undercover
for certain reasons. One, she works in an area where people she meets with overseas could be compromised. When you start tracing
back who she met with, even people who innocently met with her, who are not involved in CIA operations, could be compromised.
For these journalists to argue that this is no big deal and if I hear another Republican operative suggesting that well, this
was just an analyst fine, let them go undercover. Let's put them overseas and let's out them and then see how they like it.
They won't be able to stand the heat [...]
LARRY JOHNSON: I say this as a registered Republican. I'm on record giving contributions to the George Bush campaign. This
is not about partisan politics. This is about a betrayal, a political smear of an individual with no relevance to the story.
Publishing her name in that story added nothing to it. His entire intent was correctly as Ambassador Wilson noted: to intimidate,
to suggest that there was some impropriety that somehow his wife was in a decision making position to influence his ability
to go over and savage a stupid policy, an erroneous policy and frankly, what was a false policy of suggesting that there were
nuclear material in Iraq that required this war. This was about a political attack. To pretend that it's something else and
to get into this parsing of words, I tell you, it sickens me to be a Republican to see this.
Atrios also points us to a piece by John LeBoutillier at the far-right NewsMax, who says, "if the Clinton White House had
sold out an active-duty CIA agent as 'payback' for some whistle-blowing article, we would be outraged. This crime is no less
serious because it was done in a Republican White House." http://www.newsmax.com/archives/articles/2003/9/29/220207.shtml
Andrew Sullivan, who initially questioned whether Plame was really an undercover agent, now says:
It looks at though decent Republicans are starting to react to this scandal as Calpundit (Kevin Drum) urged in the piece
I posted a couple of days ago: "There are plenty of honorable conservatives out there who deserve conservative support,
but not the ones running this administration. So for God's sake, take a good hard look at these guys and get clear of them
while your conscience is still intact." http://www.calpundit.com/archives/002264.html
"The only thing necessary for the triumph of evil is for good men to do nothing." Edmund Burke
"Dissent is the highest form of patriotism." Thomas Jefferson
"To announce that there must be no criticism of the President, or that we are to stand by the President, right or wrong,
is not only unpatriotic and servile, but is morally treasonable to the American public." Theodore Roosevelt
"Some folks are born silver spoon in hand, Lord, don't they help themselves . . . . Some folks inherit star spangled eyes,
ooh, they send you down to war" Creedence Clearwater Revival, "Fortunate Son"
"Patriotism is the last refuge of a scoundrel." Samuel Johnson
"There is no flag large enough to cover the shame of killing innocent people." Howard Zinn
"Killing a man to defend an idea isn't defending an idea. It's killing a man." Jean-Luc Godard, Notre Musique (2004)
"Killing one person is murder. Killing 100,000 is foreign policy." Unknown
"The people can always be brought to the bidding of the leaders. This is easy. All you have to do is to tell them they
are being attacked, and denounce the pacifists for lack of patriotism and exposing the country to danger. It works the same
in every country." Hermann Goering
"I actually think Bush is the greatest threat to life on this planet." London Mayor Ken Livingstone
"They could be made to accept the most flagrant violations of reality, because they never fully grasped the enormity
of what was demanded of them, and were not sufficiently interested in public events to notice what was happening." George
Orwell, 1984