Home > Optimal Trifecta Box

Warning: subject to constant review and revision...use at your own risk.

Basic Criteria:

• 4 contenders one of which must be the favorite
• The favorite must be below 3-1
• One of the 4 contenders must be a longshot above 8-1
• The other two contenders must be medium priced between 3-1 and 8-1

Box the trifecta using the favorite and longshot as co-keys. The longshot will usually be an in form final fraction horse (off-pace type) that will come on late in the race. The other 3 contenders might be suspect on surface, ability, or distance.

Typical pattern:
#1 1-1
#2 7-2
#3 9-2
#4 12-1

tri box: 1,4,2 and 1,4,3

Other Positives To Look For:

• All 4 contenders are consistantly ITM
• 3 of the 4 contenders are the clear top 3 tote choices
• High odds on the longshot which will generate high payoff
• The longshot is well bred with stud fee above USD 10k