Could consumers end up paying for cap and trade?

By Sharryn Harvey, Power Engineering

The debate over cap and trade is leaving a bad taste in some people's mouths. One group says the legislation would have negative impacts on how utilities pass down savings to customers and won't have as big an impact on reducing emissions. Another group says the rise in costs will happen whether there is cap and trade or not.

The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency defines cap and trade as "a policy tool with a mandatory cap on emissions while providing sources flexibility in how they comply."

Therein lies the problem, said a report from Synapse Energy Economics Inc. Unregulated companies could hog all the credits, keeping them from smaller utilities who would use the credits and pass on the savings to their customers. Plus, those same generators will see an increase in profits as the cost of electricity increases to reflect emission costs. The profits may be about $7 billion annually, the report says.

The report was sponsored by the National Association of Regulatory Utility Commissioners (NARUC), the National Association of State Utility Consumer Advocates (NASUCA), the National Rural Electric Cooperative Association (NRECA) and the National Association of State Utility Consumer Advocates (NASUCA).

Barry Smitherman, Chairman of the Texas Public Utility Commission, and Robert Powelson, Commissioner of the Pennsylvania Public Utility Commission, both said in a joint statement that huge profits like that aren't possible.

"The proposed legislation contains specific provisions to evaluate free allowance allocations and adjust if necessary to ensure that they do not produce windfall profits," the statement said.

William Massey, counsel to the COMPETE Coalition and former FERC Commissioner, said that utility customers will still have to come out of pocket for their electricity.

"Consumers will pay the cost of carbon, regardless of whether they are in the two-thirds of the country that benefit from the economic and environmental benefits of organized electricity markets," Massey said.

Smitherman and Powelson agree. "In competitive markets, all generators are merchant generators, and compliance costs will increase for merchant coal generators without allowances," the statement said. "This in turn may result in an increased dependence on generation sources fueled by natural gas, which is expected to increase in cost and exhibits high price volatility.

But the raise in rates from cutting emissions may not be entirely economical. Considering that most of the coal-fired power generators are in the Plains, Midwest and Southern states, people living there could possibly see a rise in their bills while people in other parts of the country may barely see a change, the Synapse report said.

Massey, Smitherman and Powelson counter that consumers in organized markets will see clear signs that will give them the chance to change how they use energy and how much they use. Those steps can help with emission reductions that the cap-and-trade program is intended for.

The Synapse report suggests letting utility companies get the allowances for free, which will still raise electricity rates but will let the companies use the credits for programs that lower the burden on their customers.

The authors also propose having inexpensive climate change legislation that protects consumers and pushes for investments that reduce emissions and spur economic growth.

Smitherman and Powelson said utility companies do just that without the government's involvement. "It is important that competitive markets be given the credit they deserve, rather than being falsely criticized as the reason behind the inevitable price increases consumers will experience as a result of federal climate change legislation," they said.

The authors said they are not downplaying the importance of greenhouse gas regulation, just that the allowance prices would have implications for consumers. And that can make anyone scrunch up their face in disgust.

To read the full report click here




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