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Welcome to Brian Walton's St. Louis Cardinals blog!

News and commentary about the past, present and future state of the St. Louis Cardinals. 
 
Note that all new St. Louis Cardinals-related content will be posted on the new Birdhouse site, stlcardinals.scout.com, rather than here.  An explanatory note is below. 
 
Search the archives, listed by week and month, at the bottom of this page.

Saturday, February 5, 2005

Cons and Icons

 

News item:  Free-agent outfielder Magglio Ordonez agrees to a five-year contract with the Detroit Tigers for $75 million.  The total value could end up being as much as $105 million by the time it is over.

 

Even before Carlos Delgado and Ordonez signed, ESPN’s Jayson Stark reported that over $1 billion of free agents had been signed this off-season.  That is mind-boggling enough on its own until one realizes that one man, one agent, was personally responsible of 2/5 of that amount, almost $400 million dollars.

 

Yep, no one other than the man most despised by owners and general managers; none other than Scott Boras.

 

This off-season, Boras represented 11 free agents, having coined his own term to describe them.  “Icon players have proven to be great investments for their businesses,” said Boras during the November GM meetings. 

 

Not starving from past plundering missions, Boras previously negotiated Alex Rodriguez' 10-year, $252 million contract, Barry Bonds' five-year, $90 million deal and Kevin Brown's seven-year, $105 million contract.  Boras, 52, has been a player agent for 24 years.

 

Back in November, an AP story made this laughable observation.  “Only a few teams might be willing to spend the kind of money Boras’ guys want.”  Of course, it didn’t happen that way.  It never happens that way.  Boras waits and waits and eventually, the market comes to him.  Owners and GMs can’t resist.  It’s like the moth’s attraction to the flame and is predictable as the tides.

 

This season, Boras’ top seven “icon” free-agents have signed contracts with six different teams totaling $396 million.  Boras gets the industry-standard 5%, meaning he will be lining his pockets with just under $20 million. 

 

Like his free agents, Boras, too, is an icon.  He is universally recognized as an icon of greed and has surely earned the title.

 

Player                     New Team                          Contract     Duration        Boras’ take

Adrian Beltre             Seattle                                $64 M          5 years                  $3.2 M

Carlos Beltran            New York Mets                    $119 M         7 years                  $5.95 M

Derek Lowe               Los Angeles Dodgers            $36 M          4 years                  $1.8 M

Kevin Millwood           Cleveland                            $7 M            1 year                   $0.35M

Jason Varitek             Boston                                $40 M          4 years                  $2.0 M

J.D. Drew                  Los Angeles Dodgers            $55 M          5 years                  $2.75 M

Magglio Ordonez        Detroit                                $75 M          5 years                  $3.75 M

 

Total                                                                 $396 M                                    $19.8M

 

Rarely does Boras have to compromise, but Varitek’s deal presented a real challenge.  The leader of the World Champions stated his desire to stay with the team, but his five-year deal and demand for a no-trade clause were in direct conflict with team policy.  In addition, four other Sox players’ contracts enable them to get no-trade clauses if any one else receives one.

 

No problem.  While Boras and Varitek backed their $11 million a year demand all the way down to $10 million and five years to four, they also got a change in team policy to enact a no-trade clause after eight consecutive years of service.  ‘Tek’s the only player who is close to meeting that.  In addition, in a sad move that signaled anything can be negotiated, Varitek was named Sox team captain.

 

And, how about that Drew deal?  He can walk away from the Dodgers after two seasons if he so chooses.  Why would he do that?  Only to get more money elsewhere, of course.  If the opportunity presents itself, you can be sure that “five-percent Scott” will be right there to seal the deal.

 

In a recent Boston Herald article, Boras called the market “lush”.  He could have been using the word as an adjective, meaning “excessively productive or thriving”.  Then again, “lush” could have been a noun, which is a better reflection of Boras.  “A drunkard”, not by alcohol, but by power, ego and greed.   

 

Said Boras to Forbes last month, “Any sport or business or product is about attention.”  He went on to proudly point out the value to a team and to the game overall when his icons are in the headlines even during the off-season.  “It’s like a company that has a product.  The product is getting publicity, and you’re not paying for it.”

 

Guess who pays in the end?  Yep, you and I.

 

11:45 pm est

Thursday, February 3, 2005

All Izzy, All the Time

 

I seem to have inadvertently struck a chord with some readers with my story about Jason Isringhausen and his 2006 option yesterday.  Although I intended it to be a positive reflection of Izzy, apparently my choice of words ruffled a few feathers.

 

Specifically, I was questioned on my characterization of Izzy as a second-tier closer.  Actually, what I said was that Izzy is in the tier just below the top closers.  While I guess the readers’ interpretation is valid, it was not intended as a slam.

 

While always good since becoming a closer, Izzy has never been great.  However, at the time Izzy signed his contract in November, 2001, he was being paid as an elite closer.  Yet, since 2001, the escalation of the salary market has led to Izzy’s four-year deal (or five years with option) looking more in line with his relative contribution.

 

To drive the point home, let’s look at some facts.  We’ll take a few angles other than salary, which I covered before; specifically stats, injury and projections.

 

Stats 

Here is Izzy’s stat line from recent seasons.  (Bests in bold.)

 

 

G

W

L

SV

IP

H

R

ER

HR

BB

K

ERA

WHIP

BAA

 

2001 (Oakland)

65

4

3

34

71.1

54

24

21

5

23

74

2.65

1.08

.203

 

2002

60

3

2

32

65.1

46

22

18

0

18

68

2.48

0.98

.199

 

2003

40

0

1

22

42.0

31

14

11

2

18

41

2.36

1.17

.200

 

2004

74

4

2

47

75.1

55

27

24

5

23

71

2.87

1.04

.199

 

 

2004 was a very good year for Izzy.  On the positive side, his 47 saves was a new career high and his opposing batting average tied his career best.  Yet, he can do better.  His ERA was its highest since 2000 and was a half run higher than his career best in 2003.  In addition, his strikeout rate continues its decline since 2000.

 

Another evaluation method is to contrast Izzy’s 2004 with some the top closers in the game.   Again, very good, but short of the very best.

 

 

G

W

L

SV

IP

H

R

ER

HR

BB

K

ERA

WHIP

BAA

 

Jason Isringhausen

74

4

2

47

75.1

55

27

24

5

23

71

2.87

1.04

.199

 

Eric Gagne

70

7

3

45

82.1

53

24

20

5

22

114

2.19

0.91

.181

 

Mariano Rivera

74

4

2

53

78.2

65

17

17

3

20

66

1.94

1.08

.225

 

Brad Lidge

80

6

5

29

94.2

57