News and Opinion for Democrats Against Bush -- Part II
Milliions of Recent Jobless Face End of Benefits
BUSH and the MEDIA
-- Gay Rights
-- The Real Deficit
---- Deficit Lies
-- International Debt
---- Children Will Pay
-- Tax Cut Con Game
---- Tax-Cut Lies
------ to Small Business
---- Phony Benefits
---- Hurting States
---- Why Accepted?
---- Cuts Will Backfire
-- Low-Tax Mania
-- Move toward Flat Tax
-- Corp. Tax Dodgers
-- Corporate Welfare
---- Halliburton
-- The SUV Boondoggle
-- Unemploym't Worse
------ Comp. Denied
---- Jobs Not Created
-- Widespread Poverty
-- False Recovery
-- Stock Market
-- Texas Sch. Scandals
-- Broken Promises
-- Abandoned Youth
-- College Aid Cut
-- Aid to Rich Colleges
-- Textbooks Censored
-- Acad. Freedom Denied
ELECTRONIC VOTING -- --- A Crucial Issue
-- Monstrous Bill
---- Allows Blackouts
---- Bi-Part. Oppos'n
-- New Energy Bill
-- Bush's "Eco-Speak"
---- How to Tell Lies
-- Crimes v. Nature
---- Air Pollution
---- Global Warming
---- Ozone Depletion
---- Chemical Hazards
---- Loss of Wildlife
-- States Combat Bush
---- Power Plant Suits
-- Pension Funds, Too
-- Worker Safety
-- Real Jobless Stats
-- Overtime in Danger
-- Poor Ranking
-- Privatized Socialism
-- Health Insurance
---- The Uninsured
------ Middle Class
-- Cost of Drugs
-- Medicare
---- A Cynical Bill
---- Favoring HMOs
---- $$ to Drug Co.s
---- Bait and Switch
---- AARP Sells Out
---- Bullying to Win
---- Australian Critique
---- Some Good News
-- Chill on Research
-- Amtrak
-- Mars vs. Amtrak
-- Use of Language
--'Enemy Combatants'
-- Ultra-Secret Trials
-- Homeland Insecurity
---- Funds Miss Needs
-- FBI Prying Grows
---- Targeting Protests
------ & Anti-Bush Talk
-- Computer Privacy
-- Patriot Act
---- Excesses
------ Cure - SAFE Act
---- Dangers
---- Author's Fear
---- Librarians' Warning
--"Patriot Act II"
---- Death for Protest?
---- Sneak Enactments
---- GAO Criticisms
---- EFF Concerns
-- Guantanamo
---- Conditions
---- Legal Status
---- UK Judge's Blast
-- Torture Condoned
---- Canadian's Ordeal
-- Yousef Yee
-- Scientists Accuse
---- Admin. Can't Deny
-- Abortion Truths
-- Notorious Photo

"After the tax-cutting binges President Bush and Congress engineered for the affluent, failure to renew the nation's helping hand to the jobless would present a scandalous holiday scenario worthy of Dickens."


New York Times  November 12, 2003
Chatter in the Cave of the Winds
The complete article may be purchased online from the New York Times archives at--
Senate majority Republicans might take a moment - or even a vote - to extend reassurance to the nation's millions of unemployed tonight during the 30-hour ersatz "filibuster" they plan to protest the Democrats' blocking of President Bush's more extremist judicial appointees. The filibusterers will talk through the night, performing from a political script in a time-wasting tableau designed to produce campaign fodder for next year. But out there in real life, federal emergency unemployment benefits are scheduled to expire on Dec. 31 with no sign of notice from the Republicans in Congress. A year ago, they blithely quit the Capitol and let the unemployed stew through the holidays before retroactively approving a benefit extension that was far too modest. ...
Serious help is needed for the 2.4 million more recent jobless facing the end of their state benefits, not to mention the 2.1 million long-term unemployed who have slipped off the job-hunting scope. ...
[Note:  It didn't happen.]

  2003 The New York Times Company

Center on Budget and Policy Priorities

March 25, 2004

[in first quarter of 2004]

Exhaustions Continue at Unprecedented Pace
By Isaac Shapiro

To read the complete report, click here--

From late December, when the federal program designed to help the long-term unemployed began phasing out, through the end of March, an estimated 1.1 million jobless workers will have exhausted their regular unemployment benefits without receiving additional aid.  In no other comparable period on record have so many individuals exhausted their regular benefits and gone without additional aid.

This estimate is based on previously released data from the Department of Labor for December and January, just-released department data for February, and a new estimate by the author for March.

This analysis begins with an assessment of current exhaustion trends, including on a state-by-state basis.  It then discusses three of the arguments that have been put forward recently in opposition to resuming the temporary federal benefits program, before concluding by describing the political forces that will influence whether the program is reestablished.

Exhaustions Top One Million

The Temporary Extended Unemployment Compensation (TEUC) program was created in March 2002 to provide additional weeks of federally funded unemployment benefits to jobless workers who have run out of regular, state-funded unemployment benefits but have not found a job.  TEUC provided up to 13 weeks of benefits to most workers who participated in it.  After being extended twice, it began phasing out in late December.  Individuals who have exhausted their regular unemployment benefits since December 20 have not been eligible for TEUC aid.

A month ago, the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities released a report estimating that 760,000 unemployed workers would exhaust their regular benefits and go without federal aid from December 20 through the end of February.[1]  The Labor Department just released actual exhaustion data for February that permit a precise calculation of total exhaustions in late December through February.  The actual figure was 781,000 — or three percent higher than the Center’s estimate.

Based in substantial part on the February data, this analysis estimates the number of unemployed who will exhaust their regular benefits in March, thereby creating a current estimate of how many unemployed have exhausted their regular benefits and gone without federal aid since the TEUC program was not resumed.

  • From late December through the end of March, an estimated 1,150,000 unemployed individuals will exhaust their regular unemployment benefits.  About 30,000 of them will qualify for additional unemployment aid through the permanent, but quite limited, federal/state “extended benefits” unemployment program.[2]  The remaining 1,120,000 individuals will not qualify for additional aid.
  • In no other comparable period on record, with data available back to 1971, have there been so many “exhaustees.”
  • This figure will continue to mount as the weeks go by, with each new week bringing an average of nearly 80,000 more jobless workers exhausting their regular benefits but going without further aid.

Table 1 at the end of this analysis breaks out these figures on a state basis.  It shows that throughout the nation large numbers of individuals are exhausting their regular benefits and going without aid.

These findings are part of a pattern of ongoing labor market weakness.  A variety of studies have now concluded that job growth during this recovery period has been substantially weaker than in any other post-World War II recovery period.  The Administration’s own economists have come to this conclusion.  The recent Economic Report of the President stated “the performance of employment over the past couple of years has been appreciably weaker than in past business cycles” (see page 48 of this February 2004 publication).

The general labor market report for February was also discouraging.  Jobs grew by a paltry amount of 21,000, with none of these jobs being created in the private sector.  Further, the average duration of unemployment spells rose to their highest level in 20 years. ...

Further sections in this report--

Findings of a new CBO study demonstrate importance of UI benefits

Current Arguments Against Resuming The TEUC Program

How Are The Political Forces Aligned?

And don't miss the state-by-state chart showing "Estimated exhaustions from late December 2003 through the end of March 2004" at the end.

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